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Qarabag vs Ferencvarosi, UEFA Champions League, Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium, 17:45
Hosts Qarabag FK will qualify for the Champions League league phase if they hold onto their 3-1 lead against Ferencvaros on Wednesday at Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium.
The home side triumphed on August 19 despite initially trailing 1-0 after 29 minutes. Still, three second-half goals have put the Hungarian visitors on the brink of elimination from the final qualifying stage.
The Azerbaijanian hosts began their league season on August 22, losing 1-0 against Sumqayit, though it was just the first time in 16 competitive outings that they had failed to score.
Qarabag were eliminated in the qualifying rounds of the 2024-25 Champions League in the second round and instead participated in the Europa League phase, where they were knocked out in the round of 16.
Ferencvaros were untroubled for large periods in the first leg, but to concede three times despite only facing 0.77 xG will be of immense disappointment to boss Robbie Keane.
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Keane’s side have won by two or more goals twice in their last four fixtures, including beating Ludogorets 3-0 in the second leg of the third round Champions League qualifying tie on August 12.
Given that Qarabag has the luxury of a two-goal advantage, they can afford to defend deep and rely on counter-attacks. Our prediction is over 1.5 goals.
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